Developers: King's College London (applications, data, models), AmbioTEK (software, data, models), CIDOB (economic drivers), EGMONT (military drivers), OME (energy drivers)
Associated project: EU H2020 MENARA
Audience: governmental and non-governmental policy
and international relations
analysts. Educators and academic researchers.
Focus: MENARA is a web based tool for mapping and understanding drivers of geopolitical shifts, regional order and domestic transformations in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) at scales from the geopolitical region to the local. This PSS is a testbed for the development and implementation of EU strategies focused on environmental conservation, resilience to climate and economic change, food and water security. It also focused on enabling the intended and unintended consequences of environmental and economic interventions to be tested in silico before they are tested in vivo . The PSS incorporates detailed spatial datasets at 1-square km and 1 hectare resolution for the region and the world, spatial models for biophysical and socioeconomic processes along with scenarios for climate,population change and land use. The PSS calculates the current environmental, water, food and economic baseline and allows a series of interventions (policy options) or scenarios of change to be used to understand their impact.
Though we provide input data for application of this model anywhere globally (from remote sensing and other global sources) users can also use this model with their own datasets. Application with the provided datasets takes only half an hour and requires no GIS capacity. Bringing in your own datasets will take much longer depending on the availability, level of processing, format and consistency of those datasets and also requires GIS capacity.
Geographical coverage: global, focus on MENA
Spatial resolution: 10 degree tiles, countries and major basins @ 1km resolution or 1 degree tiles @ 1-hectare resolution. Globally applicable, locally relevant. Also global 10km, continental 1km (not possible on public servers)
Temporal resolution: Baseline (1950-2000) and scenario
History: Basis in Co$tingNature version 2 (2011) and WaterWorld version 2
Version 1: in development
Model and data documentation can be found here and system (interface and functionality) documentation here.
A presentation on the science behind the PSS can be found here (English)
Mulligan, M. (2015) Trading off agriculture with nature's other benefits, spatially in Zolin, C.A and Rodrigues, R de A.R. (eds) Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in Agriculture. CRC Press ISBN 9781498706148
Intellectual property: Please do not redistribute or publish on the internet any data or results from these systems in raw GIS form without prior permission from us as we need to ensure that our data provider's licenses are adhered to. If you intend to publish results from this system in the academic literature please send a draft of the paper to us before submission so that we can help ensure that the interpretation is appropriate. If you intend to use this system extensively to deliver the outputs of a funded research or consultancy project, please talk to us before submitting the bid or proposal. To contact us: click here.